Numbers show (with a reasonable margin of error) that the first year of the 'horrific plague' had no significant increase in the number of deaths. Which is what I was beginning to suspect during 2020, and frustratingly had to wait until the year was over before seeing the numbers.
Year World Population Deaths Death% 2020 7,794,798,739 59,230,795 0.76% 2019 7,713,468,100 58,394,373 0.76% 2018 7,631,091,040 57,625,149 0.76% 2017 7,457,858,925 56,935,173 0.76% 2016 7,464,022,049 56,331,837 0.75% 2015 7,379,797,139 55,822,989 0.76%
Where do these numbers come from? I found them online, but they could be made up. I did verify that worldometers.info has the population numbers shown here for each year and www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/death-rate has the percentage of deaths to 4 significant digits.
Unfortunately, I read that data from 2020 onwards is only projection, not based on actual data. Odd, we are now at the beginning of 2022 and we still don't have a compilation of the numbers for 2020? Hmm...I wonder what has historically been the lag in publishing data. How many years must we wait to see the actual numbers (basically just a tallying of death certificates from all vital records around the world.) Although, for the U.S. that should be available as these records are electronically stored and published by our government.
Here is a prediction of the UN (current is 2022, snapshot from https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/WLD/world/death-rate)
